Category Archives: Investment law

Developing countries’ share in global investment to triple by 2030: World Bank

(India and China will be developing world’s largest investors, together accounting for 38% of the global gross investment in 2030 and will account for almost half of all global manufacturing investment.)  According to a World Bank report, seventeen years from now, half the global stock of capital, totaling US$158 trillion will reside in the developing world, compared to less than one-third today, with countries in East Asia and Latin America accounting for the largest shares of this stock. By 2030, for every dollar invested in the world, 60 cents will flow into developing countries, a dramatic change from 20 cents to the dollar in 2000. China will make up 30% of all investment activity, while the United States will have 11% and India 7%.  The report forecasts that developing countries’ share in global investment will triple by 2030 to three-fifths, from one-fifth in 2000. With world population set to rise from 7 billion in 2010 to 8.5 billion 2030 and rapid aging in the advanced countries, demographic changes will profoundly influence these structural shifts. Productivity catch-up, increasing integration into global markets, sound macroeconomic policies, and improved education and health are helping speed growth and creating massive investment opportunities, which, in turn, are spurring a shift in global economic weight to developing countries. A further boost is being provided by the youth bulge. With developing countries on course to add more than 1.4 billion people to their combined population between now and 2030, the full benefit of the demographic dividend has yet to be reaped, particularly in the relatively younger regions of Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Combined with this, strong saving rates in developing countries are expected to peak at 34% of national income in 2014 and will average 32% annually until 2030. In aggregate terms, the developing world will account for 62-64% of global saving of US$25-27 trillion by 2030, up from 45% in 2010. South Asia will remain one of the highest saving and highest investing regions until 2030. However, with the scope for rapid economic growth and financial development, results for saving, investment, and capital flows will vary significantly. South Asia is a young region, and by about 2035 is likely to have the highest ratio of working- to nonworking-age people of any region in the world. The general shift in investment away from agriculture towards manufacturing and service sectors is likely to be especially pronounced in South Asia, with the region’s share of total investment in manufacturing expected to nearly double, and investment in the service sector to increase by more than 8% points, to over two-thirds of total investment. East Asia and the Pacific is experiencing a big demographic dividend and the lowest dependency ratio in the world. However, this dividend will end after reaching its peak in 2015. Labor force growth will slow, and by 2040 the region may have one of the highest dependency ratios of all developing regions.  Eastern Europe and Central Asia is the furthest along in its demographic transition, and will be the only developing region to reach zero population growth by 2030. Aging is expected to moderate economic growth in the region, and also has the potential to bring down the saving rate more than any developing region, apart from East Asia. The region’s saving rate may decline more than its investment rate, in which case countries in the region will have to finance investment by attracting more capital flows. Latin America and the Caribbean may become the lowest-saving region by 2030. Although demographics will play a positive role, as dependency ratios are projected to fall through 2025, financial market development and a moderation in economic growth will play a counterbalancing role. Similarly, the rising and then falling impact of demography on labor force growth means that the investment rate is expected to rise in the short run, and then gradually fall. The Middle East and North Africa is in a relatively early phase of its demographic transition, characterized by a still fast growing population and labor force, but also a rising share of elderly. The region has the lowest use of formal financial institutions for saving by low-income households, and scope for financial markets to play a significantly greater role in household saving. Sub-Saharan Africa is currently the youngest of all regions, with the highest dependency ratio. This ratio will steadily decrease by 2030 and beyond, bringing a long lasting demographic dividend. The region will have the greatest infrastructure investment needs over the next two decades (relative to GDP). At the same time, there will likely be a shift in infrastructure investment financing toward greater participation by the private sector, and substantial increases in private capital inflows, particularly from other developing regions. 

Investment in Asia

Asian countries are serving as a major engine for global growth by way of increasing its exports as well as attracting foreign direct investments. The economic success has translated to social reforms as well, poverty rates have fallen, life expectancy has risen, and the quality of life has improved significantly over the past half century. IMF has estimated developing Asia’s average growth at 7.1% for 2013 and 7.3% for 2014 as compared to world at 3.3% in 2013 and 4% in 2014 and advanced economies at 1.2% in 2013 and 2.2% in 2014.  Asia has been the fastest growing region of the world for several decades, comprising more than 60% of the global population and it accounts for almost a quarter of global output (22%). The speed and extent of Asia’s economic and social progress has been inspiring and these emerging economies are now advancing at an impressive pace as a major global economic power. Asian region is emerging with strong demographics and making it lucrative for investment and trade. In the recent years, due to export diversification efforts, the share of developing economies in India’s total exports witnessed a gradual increase. Increased diversification in trade destinations from the advanced economies to the emerging economies might open up fresh avenues for progress in this area, going forward.

General Electric Retreat In The Face of India’s Tough Liability Laws

India’s tough civil nuclear liability laws have sent at least one private company
running for the exits, while other companies backed by governments are rushing in to fill the void. General Electric became the latest private company to pull up stakes from India, announcing this week that it will not pursue the nuclear energy business in India because it can’t abide by India’s civil nuclear liability laws. GE has stated that it doesn’t want to take the risk of running afoul of India’s tough laws regulating nuclear power. This will likely leave the nuclear power business open to countries like Russia or France which are willing to meet India’s demands concerning nuclear power.  “If the liability law stays the way it is, we won’t pursue the business,” said John Flannery, the CEO and president of GE India in an interview with Forbes – India. “We are a private enterprise and we just can’t take that kind of risk profiles,” he added. Strong
objections
America, in particular, has voiced strong objections to India’s Civil Liability for Nuclear Damage Act that India’s government passed into law in 2010. American diplomats claim that the law violates international conventions. India has clearly gone its own way concerning the development of nuclear power in the country. After the disastrous tsunami and earthquake in Japan in March, 2011 destroyed a nuclear power plant at Fukushima, other governments have been reassessing their reliance on nuclear power and concerns around commercial property. The subsequent earthquakes that followed the tsunami triggered a meltdown of three reactor cores at the nuclear plant owned by Tokyo Electric Power Co. The plant was designed by GE. Since then, Germany announced that it would shut down 17 of its nuclear power plants within 10 years. Japan, too, pledged that it would pull the switch on all nuclear facilities by 2040 but could reverse itself with the election of the new Liberal Democrat Party. India, though, was largely unfazed by the Fukushima nuclear accident. Nuclear Power Corporation of India plans to add 37,500 megawatts of generation power to its facilities. That means billions of dollars in sales for a company that supplies the generating equipment. India is one of the few countries that has embraced nuclear power as a solution to its growing energy needs.  However, the country has little or no capacity to supply fuel and reactor technology, so it must depend upon foreign companies. Major nuclear industry companies have lined up for a piece of the action, including Rosatom, Areva, GE and Westinghouse. Nuclear liability law After GE pulled its stakes from the playing table, America’s deputy assistant secretary of state for South and Central Asian Affairs complained that India’s nuclear liability law is not in sync with international nuclear principles as outlined in the Convention on Supplementary Compensation for Nuclear Damage.  “There are a number of different countries on a common regulatory regime if you will. And we do business in those countries,” said Flannery. He added that India’s Nuclear Damage Act is not in line with the convention rules, and because of that, GE is not comfortable with engaging in business with India. This reluctance of conforming to India’s laws has scared away some private companies, but others see it as an opportunity to ingratiate themselves to the Indians.  French President Francois Hollande, who visited India recently, embraced the civil nuclear liability law and told the country that France respected Indian law. Hollande, in a recent interview with The Times of India, said that France and India are in a “strategic embrace.” He assured the Indian people that the reactors that France is building for itself are the same reactors that France is selling to India.  France is currently constructing India’s largest nuclear power plant near the port of Jaitapur in the Maharashtra State. This is a 9,900 megawatt power project and will be the largest nuclear power generating plant in the world when completed. The plant was designed to give India energy security. France is expected to supply fuel for the plant for 25 years. The estimated cost for the Jaitapur plant is $18.2 billion. The French nuclear giant Areva stands to make billions of dollars in sales as India continues to build power stations to meet the country’s expanding population. GE is saying, no, thanks. This article is written by Jennifer Swanson.

Rules for Clinical Trials India

On November 31, 2011, the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (“the Ministry”) had proposed certain draft amendments to the Drugs and Cosmetic Rules, 1945 to ensure payment of compensation to the study subject (“Subject”) for clinical trial related injury or death. The final amendments have been notified, to be effective from January 30, 2013 (“Amendment”). The salient features of the Amendment have been captured below:

Clinical trial subjects are entitled to free medical management as long as required, and also are entitled to financial compensation for clinical trial related injury or death. In case of death of the subject, the compensation is payable to the nominee(s) of the subject.  What constitutes ‘clinical trial related injury or death’ has been laid out. Some of the provisions such as “failure of investigational product to provide intended therapeutic effect” have raised concerns.  The Sponsor or his representative (“Sponsor Representative”), whosoever has obtained permission to conduct the clinical trial in India, is obligated to bear the expenses of the Subject’s medical management and provide financial compensation. With respect to the compensation, the Sponsor, whether a pharmaceutical company or an institution, is also required to give an undertaking to the Drugs Controller General of India (“DCGI”) stating that it will provide compensation in case of clinical trial related injury or death. ‘Serious Adverse Event’ has now been defined for the purpose of Schedule Y (brought in from the definitions of ‘Adverse Event’ and ‘Serious Adverse Event’ set out in the Good Clinical Practice Guidelines). A definite procedure for reporting serious adverse events and processing of incidental claims of financial compensation has been put in place. The Sponsor, Investigator and Ethics Committee have to submit their report with an analysis on the cause of the adverse event to the Experts Committee (in case of death and in case of injury, if the DCGI appoints such Committee) and the DCGI within a stipulated time. The Experts Committee to be set up by DCGI, would investigate the cause of death or injury (if required by DCGI), and recommend financial compensation, if applicable, to the DCGI. The DCGI has been authorised to decide the cause of the serious adverse event as well as pass an order on payment of compensation, if applicable, taking into account recommendations of the Experts Committee. The time frame for determination of the cause of serious adverse event and order of financial compensation is 3 months from the date of report of the serious adverse event by the Investigator. The Sponsor or Sponsor Representative has been given a time frame of 30 days from receipt of the order of the DCGI to provide compensation to the Subject. Failure of the Sponsor or Sponsor Representative to provide free medical management and/or financial compensation, as ordered, may lead to suspension or cancellation of the existing and further clinical trials in India. The Informed Consent Form has been modified to include relevant details for the purpose of determination of compensation such as qualification, occupation and annual income of the subject. It is now obligatory to hand over a copy of the informed consent sheet and duly filled informed consent form to the subject or his / her attendant. The right of Sponsor to receive the copies of the reports filed by Investigator, Ethics Committee or to be heard before the order is passed is not recognized.

Water, Waste Water & Sanitation India

Delhi Jal Board (DJB) has approved the Delhi Water and Sewer (Tariff and Metering) Regulations, 2012 with the objective to ensure transparency in its functioning and minimize consumer grievances. These regulations will cater to issues related to installation fee and rent of meters and, maintenance and testing of meters.  To cater the drinking water needs of the residents of Greater Jammu for the next thirty years (2042), the Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) government is preparing a mega water supply project to be developed in two phases with an investment of Rs 10.08 billion. The Economic Reconstruction Agency, J&K government has been asked to prepare the detailed project report (DPR) for the first phase of the project, which is estimated to cost about Rs 5 billion.  The Coimbatore City Municipal Corporation in Tamilnadu is planning to commence work on the project involving setting up of a sewage treatment plant (STP) at Ondipudur. The plant will be based on the sequencing batch reactor technology and entail an investment of Rs. 512 million.  The Chennai Metropolitan Water Supply and Sewerage Board in Tamilnadu has decided to implement a centralized online network to monitor the entire water supply system from souring to distribution, to augment accountability in water supply management. The project is estimated to entail an investment of Rs. 20 million.  The Punjab government has approved a total revamp plan under the Punjab Urban Development Mission to upgrade civic amenities in all 142 cities of the state with an investment of Rs 87.45 billion. Work under the plan include providing and maintaining water supply and sewerage system, laying new and upgrading existing internal roads, street lighting, maintaining green belts etc.